UFC Vegas 107 Best Betting Props, Parlays & Picks

UFC Vegas 107 happens this weekend (Sat., May 31 2025) inside UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada. The ESPN+-streamed main event has a clash of Top 5-ranked Flyweights with Maycee Barber vs. Erin Blanchfield. Both of these women will be hoping to jump the line at 125 pounds and earn a fight with reigning champ, Valentina Shevchenko.

The co-main event is Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein in the Lightweight division. That one has the potential for fireworks with Gamrot trying to escape being a forgotten man at the top of the rankings.

Whew boy, the rest of this card is …. yikes.

Making up the main card is Billy Ray Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj, Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes, Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson and Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic.

The “Prelims” undercard is headlined by Jafel Filho vs. Allan Nascimento. The “Prelims” also include Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson and Kurt Holobaugh vs. Jordan Leavitt.

Let’s checkout the money lines on “Barber vs. Blanchfield” and all the other bouts on the card …

UFC Vegas 107 Main Card Money Line Odds

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Maycee Barber (+195) vs. Erin Blanchfield (-238)

Since back-to-back losses to Roxanne Modafferi and Alexa Grasso, Barber has won six straight. Among those wins are an impressive technical knockout over Amanda Ribas (see it here) and decisions over Katlyn Cerminara and Andrea Lee.

Blanchfield’s only loss in UFC was to Manon Fiorot, by decision, last year. Around that loss she has beaten Rose Namajunas, Taila Santos and Jessica Andrade (by submission — see it here). Her only other pro loss was to Tracy Cortez, by split decision, back in Invicta.

Blanchfield is a big favorite in this fight and that’s because of the strength of her ground game. She’s a smothering presence on the ground and her submission game is very dangerous. Against Namajunas, she went position over submission and was able to dominate a couple of rounds by staying on top of the former champion.

I don’t know if Barber is going to be able to do much against Blanchfield on the ground. Her best chance of winning this fight is preventing the fight from ever going there. That’s a tough ask in a five-round fight (something Barber has never experienced before).

Barber is decent on the feet (she TKO’d Gillian Robertson at the beginning of her UFC career), but her striking finishes usually happen on the ground. I don’t think she’s going to get any top position on Blanchfield on this fight. It’s hard to see Barber getting a technical knockout standing against Blanchfield, who is good defensive striker. I think Barber’s liveliness on the feet might get her an early round or two, but I just can’t see her getting away from Blanchfield’s clinches and body locks.

If Barber were to win, we’d likely see an exciting fight along the way. However, unfortunately, I think we’re in for a long grinding affair that ends with Blanchfield’s hand being raised.

The round total for this one is 4.5, the odds on that is -230, so Vegas is very confident that this one goes the distance.

Blanchfield by decision -115. She’s +380 by submission. Barber to win by decision is +450. Barber to win by KO/TKO is +500.

I think there is a chance that Blanchfield does get a submission, but not enough for me to take the under. I’m just going to be boring and take her on the moneyline.

Best bet: Erin Blanchfield moneyline (-238)

Photo by Foto Olimpik/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Mateusz Gamrot (-155) vs. Ludovit Klein (+130)

This is an interesting match-up and, given how close Gamrot has been to the title picture at Lightweight, I’m surprised this isn’t our main event on Saturday.

Gamrot, a former KSW champion, shot himself in the foot in his last fight, dropping a split decision to Dan Hooker and losing all the momentum he had gained with three straight wins.

Gamrot tried to let his wrestling do the talking against Hooker, but he let himself get too touched up early in the fight. And that made his wrestling less effective than he would have hoped. Before that fight, Gamrot was saying he could earn a title shot with a win.

In retrospect, that all sounds very silly.

His three-fight win streak included a dominant decision over the ghost of Rafael dos Anjos, an injury induced win over Rafael Fiziev and split decision over the since-retired Jalin Turner. Before that, he was decisioned by Beneil Dariush. And before that, he won a decision over Arman Tsarukyan in a fight many people scored for Tsarukyan.

Klein is on a seven-fight undefeated streak. Among his wins are a decision over Ignacio Bahamondes (who is a very hot name in the division right now). His other wins aren’t terribly impressive, they include decisions over Roosevelt Roberts and Thiago Moises.

Gamrot is going to have a lot of size over Klein in this fight. He’s going to try and make that count with a wrestle-mugging performance. The challenge for Klein will be, can he rough up Gamrot like Hooker did in the time between takedown attempts?

Klein has a 91 percent takedown defense on paper. Though, he’s never faced someone in UFC with a dedicated takedown-heavy offense like Gamrot. I also don’t think Klein has a high enough output to wear down Gamrot. He lands 3.81 significant strikes per minute (Hooker lands 5.03).

I think we could be headed to a boring decision win for Gamrot with lots of him being a size bully against the cage. I think Klein might be able to stay on his feet for large portions of the fight, but not be in a position where he can throw his clean combos.

I’ll take Gamrot by decision, since he seems allergic to finishes.

Best bet: Mateusz Gamrot by decision (-120)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Billy Ray Goff (-340) vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (+270)

This was supposed to be Oban Elliott vs. Ramiz Brahimaj. That would have been the best fight on the card, given that Elliott looks like a very good prospect. Brahimaj is good, too, though. He proved that with his blistering finish over Mickey Gall last time out (see it here).

Goff, meanwhile, was preparing to fight on this card anyway. His original opponent Seok Hyun Ko fell out due to visa issues. Goff lost a decision, in a “Fight of the Night,” to Trey Waters in his last bout.

These guys are both great strikers and this match-up might live up to what I was hoping for with Elliott vs. Brahimaj. I’m quite surprised to see Goff as such a heavy favorite, though.

Goff throws a ton of heat and has good wrestling to back it up. Brahimaj was rag-dolled by Themba Gorimbo last year, so perhaps the oddsmakers think we’ll see Goff taking Brahimaj down a bunch in this one.

I have a feeling we’re going to get a brawl on the feet out of these two. If that happens, I think this is a very close fight to call. I think Brahimaj is better than the oddsmakers are making him out to be here. You can get plus money on him plus the points, so that’s where I’m going to go.

Best bet: Ramiz Brahimaj +3.5 (+140)

Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Dustin Jacoby (-185) vs. Bruno Lopes (+154)

Jacoby has been very up and down in the last few years. He’s 2-4 in his last six and he’s coming off a late kn ockout win over Vitor Petrino (see that here). That fight was dreadful leading up to that moment. Before that he was starched by Dominick Reyes (see it here) and took a decision over Alonzo Menifield.

Lopes, on the flipside, took a very forgettable decision over Magomed Gadzhiyasulov in his proper UFC debut in January.

I think Jacoby will have too much on the feet for Lopes. He’s got a slight reach advantage and he lands over five significant strikes a minute, compared to the 2.9 Lopes lands. Lopes used his wrestling to get past Gadzhiyasulov, but Jacoby has decent-ish takedown defense (62 percent) and has a lot of experience defending against the cage and getting himself back into open space.

I think this could be as boring as the Jacoby vs. Petrino fight, but maybe without the big finish. The round total is set for 2.5 rounds. I’ll take the over just in case Lopes is able to pin Jacoby down for longer than I’m expecting.

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-110)

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Zachary Reese (-275) vs. Dusko Todorovic (+200)

Todorovic shouldn’t be doing this anymore, certainly not at this level. The once exciting prospect is now 3-5 in UFC with all but one loss coming via stoppage. Last time out he was brutalized by Mansur Abdul-Malik (see it here). That first round loss came after Todorovic had been out for a year after suffering a knee injury against Christian Leroy Duncan. Before the injury he was finished by Chidi Njokuani and Punahele Soriano.

Reese, on the other hand, was finished by Azamat Bekoev in January (see it here). Bekoev made it abundantly clear he’s a name to watch after he destroyed Ryan Loder earlier this month. Reese claims Bekoev got away with some shots to the back of the head during their fight.

Before that loss, Reese treated Jose Medina like a punching bag in a unanimous decision win. And before that he put away Julian Marquez in just 20 seconds (see it here).

I’ve never been sold on Reese as a high level KO artist. He racked up KO wins against cans on the regional scene, but couldn’t put the awful Medina away. However, I think he’s going to look like a killer against the shot Todorovic (who is still just 31 years-old). I think he’s going to lay him out with a flying knee in the first…